Tom vs Truth: Debunking Every Theory And Myth

 

Tom vs Truth: Debunking Every Theory And Myth

Brady Theory’s Debunked With Facts-Part 1

Tom Brady “theories” or “myths” claiming he’s not a great QB make me laugh, so I’ve compiled the first edition of Tom vs Truth. I am a fan yes, but I am only using facts and numbers to end these ridiculous claims. 

They Love you Until they Don’t 

Once upon a time Tom Brady was America’s golden child. Beating the greatest show on turf put him on the map. Fast forward to the present day and many things have changed. Six Super Bowl wins, multiple MVPs and a Supermodel wife has the country turned against the GOAT. But let’s start with these theory’s about TB12.

Adios double-flush!Hello Champion, goodbye plunger.

“TOM IS A PRODUCT OF THE PATRIOTS SYSTEM”

Haters across the country can’t stop calling Brady a system QB. Every team has a system, and 3/4s of the teams are using the same one. But why aren’t they playing in February? The answer is Tom Brady. We know his skill, so let’s look deeper. Brady has had numerous Offensive Coordinators. In the beginning it was Charlie Weiss. Charlie’s offenses in NY and NE before Tom Brady were ranked 12th, 5th, 19th and 25th. Compare those numbers with a very green, backup QB in Tom Brady. Charlie’s four years with Tom in his offenses ranked 6th, 10th, 12th and 4th. This is what I call the Brady difference. Weiss left after four years with Brady to coach Notre Dame. Without Brady he a record of 41-49. 

McDaniels Makes Brady 

Josh McDaniels makes Tom Brady great. Well no, not at all. He has had success with Tom just like Weiss, but without Brady his numbers declined drastically. Working with Brady, Josh McDaniels offenses have been incredible. Before the 2019 season the worst two finishes were 10th in points and 11th in yards. Every other season with Brady, New England’s offense was ranked top three in points, with one top five finish. McDaniels in St.Louis and Denver, running the SAME system, ranked 20th, 19th and dead last at 32nd. (Brady Difference.)

Bill O’Brien in 2011 must’ve been the reason Brady and the offense was 3rd in points scored right? I don’t think so. SSince leaving the Pats O’Brien’s offenses in points scored rank 14th, 21st, 28th, 17th and 11th. Quite the drop off without Brady under center. So if you say “System QB”, I say it’s the Brady difference. 

WELL WHAT ABOUT BILL BELICHICK? “HE MAKES TOM BRADY”

New England Patriots head coach Bill Belichick stands alone as the greatest HC, he must be why Brady’s so great 

First let me say that while Bill is the best coach of all time, that didn’t really start until Brady came into the mix. In Cleveland Bill went 35-55, going just 5-11 in his first year in NE with Bledsoe under center. There’s that Tom Brady difference again. 

2008 SAME TEAM NO BRADY

But Matt Cassel went 11-5 when Brady was hurt 

This argument often made by haters really grinds my gears: “If Brady is so good then how did Matt Cassel go 11-5?” 

Well let’s break it down. The 2007 and 2008 teams had the same roster minus Donte Stallworth on offense. In 2007 Tom Brady and his offense set records for TDs, Rec TDs and points scored. The team went 18-0 only to lose the SB, just missing the perfect season. The 2007 offense with Tom had a +315 point differential, compared to Cassel’s team dropping 214 points all the way down to a +101 point differential. So the same team, with different QBs went from the best offense ever, to average and missing the playoffs. 

2007 Brady- 4,806 yards, 50 TD/8 INTs with a 117 Passer rating along with MVP honors. 

2008 Cassel- 3,693 yards, 21 TD/11 INTs with an 89 passer rating with the same offense. (Brady Difference)

In 2010 Matt Cassel made the playoffs and the Pro Bowl with KC. He was no stiff, throwing 27 TDs to just 7 INTs, which was the second best ratio in the league that year. Who could’ve been Number 1 I wonder? Tom Brady of course, as he won the only unanimous MVP in league history. Sorry to say again, but the Brady Difference is quite obvious in this popular theory among haters. 

“TOM ISN’T GOOD WITHOUT A GREAT DEFENSE”

The Patriots had a very good defense in Tom’s early years, and that was a huge factor in the first three Super Bowls. People say Brady was carried by his defenses, which is not the case. From 2001-2004, with Brady coming in as a backup in the first year, he put together 10 4th quarter comebacks and 15 game winning drives. The numbers seem to show he did his part and then some, but that’s not what the haters want you to think. 

Brady led the NFL in TD passes in 2002, so it’s not a reach at all to say the Patriots may have not won those Super Bowls without Tom Brady. For example, in Super Bowl 38 the Pats defense gave up 29 points to the Panthers. A young QB named Tom Brady going up against a fierce defense threw for 354 yards, 3 TDs and his second clutch SB game winning drive. Without Brady things would’ve been a lot different that day. 

Jumping ahead to Patriots defenses that weren’t as talented. In the four year stretch from 2010-2013, New England’s defense was never better than 25th in total yards allowed. But again Brady won the MVP in 2010 and got the #1 seed. In 2011 the Pats were back in the Super Bowl despite being 31st in yards against, and that’s due to Tom Brady. In 2012 and 2013, Brady and the Pats went back to the AFC Championship but lost. Some people think going as far as possible in sports and losing is worse than not making the championship game at all. That is simply ridiculous.

In 2017 the defense was ranked 29th. Brady and the offense once again were back in the Super Bowl. Bill Belichick shocked Pats nation by benching Malcolm Butler. The defense got shredded by a backup QB, giving up 41 points. Even in defeat Brady put up historic numbers, throwing for 505 yards with three TDs with no INTs. 

My conclusion on this theory about his defenses is that Brady always has done his part to win games and make it to the AFC Championship or Super Bowl. I don’t see him being carried by anything, like the haters do. Another interesting stat: In 17 seasons the Pats Defense was statistically better than the offense only three times. In nine of those 17 seasons with Brady as the starter, the defense was ranked 20th or worse in yards allowed. There goes that defensive “myth” shut down with facts. 

“JOE MONTANA NEVER LOST IN THE SUPER BOWL”

Key Number here is 4

The debate over Montana and Brady has many factors. Joe Montana was the greatest ever in my eyes, up until Brady’s comeback in Super Bowl 49 against the Seahawks. Since Brady tied Montana with four Super Bowl wins, he went to three straight Super Bowls and won two. The real crime here is the loss to the Eagles. Brady had the best Super Bowl performance of all time in that game. 

Some people say Brady can’t be better than Montana because Joe cool never lost in his four chances. The fact of the matter is that every athlete would tell you getting to the championship and losing is better than not making it there at all. As we all know, Brady’s been to nine Super Bowls with six wins. Let’s not forget the amount of Hall Of Fame players Montana had on both sides of the ball. He also had a coach in Bill Walsh who came up with an offense no one had ever seen before. It took years for teams to adjust to this new style of football. Montana thrive with a great coach and system. 

Brady on the other hand did not, and still doesn’t have anywhere close to the number of Hall Of Fame players Joe had. The comebacks alone in Super Bowls favor Brady, having six in six wins. Brady did his part in the losses too by getting the lead, only for the defense to break down at the end. 

Montana has been bounced twice in the Divisional round, twice in the Wild Card, and three times in the NFC Championship. Montana in 11 seasons went one and done in the playoffs four times. 

The GOAT Tom Brady in 16 playoff runs is 13-2 in the Divisional round, 2-2 in the WC round and 9-4 in the AFC Championship. TB12 has gone one and done just three times in the playoffs, most recently was this past season, with the worst offense he’s ever had to work with.  

Is 4-0 better than 6-3 in the Super Bowl? If you’ve never played sports then maybe you’d say yes. The ultimate goal of any athlete is to go as far as you can. That is something Brady’s done better than Montana. He’s done this with less talent, an offense that has been seen before (unlike the 49ers), all while getting better with age. Brady wins this round, the numbers don’t lie. The haters do.

“MONTANA PLAYED IN A TOUGHER AND BETTER ERA”

Again, not taking anything away from Joe Montana, I’m just telling it how it is. Sure the rules for QBs have changed over the years, but Brady played in a tough era of football himself. Rule changes to help offenses didn’t make an ounce of a difference until 2011. QB numbers didn’t go up or benefit Brady for an entire decade. From 2000-2011 only two players had a season with great numbers, Brady in 2007 and Manning in 2004. Since 2011 pretty much every QBs numbers are inflated like never before. 

Defining the different eras contains a few different things:

Free Agency -Montana played when teams didn’t change, and Hall Of Fame players typically stayed together. Brady has had a revolving door of players throughout his entire career, mostly castaways who were turned into champions. 

Defensive players -Tom Brady has played and shredded some of the best defenders and All Time defensive units and coaches. The 2000’s Steelers and Ravens, 2003 Buccaneers, The LOB Seahawks, 2015 Broncos, 2017 Jags, the two Giants Super Bowl teams and the 2018 Rams. Just think of the HOF caliber players on those defenses, and because of Tom Brady there’s a salty group that don’t have Super Bowl rings.

Geography – Joe Montana played in a sunny warm climate, while Brady’s been playing in the Northeast. Freezing temperatures, snow and rain in a division where he plays in Boston and New York. No problem for #12. Recently people want to crown Drew Brees as the best ever, when again he’s a guy who plays in a dome and plays in a division where it’s summer time in December. No disrespect to Brees ,but he’s not even close to Montana, never mind Tom Brady.

Next up in this three part series I’ll be going over topics like “The AFC Least”, “Deflategate, “Brady has no records” and my personal favorite: "QBs like Rodgers, Marino, Brees and Manning being on Tom Brady’s level."

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4 thoughts on “Tom vs Truth: Debunking Every Theory And Myth

  1. Great post.
    I’ve also heard that in Montana’s days, receivers going over the middle of the field would be “murdered” by the defensive backs. My answer to that would be that Brady and Belichick are pretty smart guys and had they been playing back in the 80’s, they would have found a way to compensate for overaggressive defensive backs.
    A number of years ago, someone asked if Joe Flacco was elite. (He had just won the super bowl) The best answer I saw was, “Clutch. Yes. Elite. No.” The same could be said for Eli Manning and Nick Foles. So even though Eli has won two super bowls, let’s not forget that his overall record as a QB is 0.500. I told the fellows at work that being clutch does not make you a great QB.
    Pats haters have consistently rated QBs like Aaron Rogers, Patrick Mahomes, Russell Wilson and Dan Marino (amongst others) as being more talented than Brady. (It’s hard not to be impressed when Mahomes, Wilson etc. make deep accurate throws off their back foot.) But being a more a more talented QB does NOT make you a BETTER QB. Part of being a great QB is not how much talent you have but what use you make of the talent that you DO have. Jeff George had a great arm but the space between his ears, not so much. Instead I would want to know:
    How many 4th quarter comebacks does he have?
    What kind of record does he have on the road?
    Is he coachable? (some QBs are coach killers)
    How well does he do against teams with winning records?
    What is his TD/INT ratio?
    How well does he work with average but not great offensive players? (does he make his teammates better?)
    How does his regular season QB rating compare with his playoff QB rating?
    What is his record when his team does not make the playoffs?
    Injury history? (QBs who run may make the highlight reels but you can’t help the club in the tub.)
    Obviously there are many more questions you could ask but I think you get the point. Great QB play is a culmination of many factors, not just how far you can throw the ball.

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